Roach Resilience

Multi-agent scenario intelligence for Dutch financial institutions. Causal graphs, Monte Carlo simulations, and 8 AI agents mapping cascading risks across geopolitical, cyber, regulatory, financial, and operational domains.

A single disruption rarely stays isolated. Sanctions trigger supply chain failures, which expose cyber vulnerabilities, which create regulatory consequences. Roach Resilience maps these cascading connections across five domains.

Single-point forecasts hide the range of possible outcomes. Monte Carlo simulation runs thousands of randomised scenarios, revealing the probability distribution of financial resilience metrics. The tail risks — those events beyond the 95th percentile — are where institutions are most vulnerable.

No single model captures the full picture. Roach Resilience deploys eight specialised AI agents — each assessing risk through a different lens — then synthesises their findings into a combined assessment. The diversity of perspectives is what makes the output robust.

Real-world events continuously reshape risk trajectories. Each new data point — a rate decision, a vendor collapse, a regulatory fine — feeds into the scenario engine and shifts predicted threshold breach timelines. Passive monitoring becomes actionable early warning.